2.3    MONETARY AND FISCAL PERFORMANCE

49.    Monetary developments in 2001 have reflected the improved fiscal position. Broad money supply grew by 20.7 percent in 2001, largely owing to increased foreign currency deposits, while continued fiscal restraint has provided room for private credit to increase by 4 percent. Gross international reserves reached the equivalent of over 3 months of import coverage at the end of 2001. The market exchange rate has been broadly stable against the U.S. dollar and in real effective terms. Despite the deterioration in garment exports and tourism receipts in the last quarter of 2001, the current account deficit in 2001 (excluding official transfers) was smaller than previously projected (10 percent of GDP), reflecting the strong performance in the first nine months.

50.    Prudent monetary policy and fiscal discipline pursued by the government have been successful in maintaining low inflation and stable exchange rate and in supporting economic growth. Despite the shrinkage in the number of banks following the introduction of the bank-restructuring program, money supply continued to expand at a reasonable pace, as public preference for monetary assets persisted. Liquidity of the banking sector recorded a robust growth of 20.7 percent, out of which 4.3 percent was contributed by local components, as compared to 1.5 percent a year earlier. Domestic currency outside banks accelerated faster than expected as the introduction of new bank notes and the need of the private business to make tax payments in local currency induced higher demand for the Riel. Foreign currency deposits, the largest component of broad money, recorded an increase of 24%, indicating strong confidence in the banking sector and in the economic policies of the RGC in spite of the general slowdown globally following the September events. Credit to the private sector rose by 4%, while government's recourse to bank financing remained negligible. Capital and reserves of the banking system continued to rise, up by 9.6% over last year, reflecting the banks' efforts to strengthen their capital base in compliance with the recent requirements of the law.

51.    Balance of Payments: In 2001, Cambodia had an overall balance of payments surplus of US$71 million. As a result, gross foreign reserves have increased and would be sufficient to finance about 3.4 months of total imports of goods and services. The data on external transactions for 2001 show that deficit on current account (excluding official transfers) contracted by 13.5% to US$219.4 million, and represented 6% of GDP. The main contributing factors were declines in deficit on both trade balance (14 percent) and income account (18.3 percent). In 2001, the value of domestic exports amounted to US$1,198.8 million, an increase of 10% over last year. One contributing factor was the increase of 13 percent in exports under Generalized System of Preferences. Retained imports increased slightly, up by 5.2% in 2001. During the same period, estimates by the Ministry of Tourism and the Ministry Interior suggested a sustained development in the tourism sector as passenger arrivals in Cambodia continued to rise by about 30%. This reflected the confidence of foreign tourists in the political stability and safety within Cambodia In 2001, receipts of official transfers were estimated to be US $ 274 million, a slight increase of 1.1 percent relative to 2000. Foreign investment flows were estimated to be flat at US $ 113 million due to global economic slowdown even before the September 11 events. Capitalization of the banking sector rose by US $ 27 million, showing the bank’s efforts to comply with the provisions of the law concerning the new minimum capital requirements.

REVENUES

52.    Progress has been made in implementing fiscal reforms in 2001. Following are key policy actions taken by the Ministry of Economy and Finance in 2001 to enhance revenue collection and strengthen governance:

  •  Treat all diesel sales as final sales for VAT purposes;
  • Improved enforcement of the 10 percent tax on entertainment services;
  • Implement stamp system for taxes on cigarettes;
  • Establish a Large Taxpayers Unit (LTU), with the direct payment by check or transfer to the National Treasury accounts at the NBC for the largest taxpayers; and
  • Reduce the number of tariff bands from 12 to 4 and lower the maximum tariff rate to 35 percent, with associated increase in excise rates in the context of tariff restructuring;
  • Conducting a study on the viability on the expansion of the real regime to another five provinces. The real regime has been expanded in 2001 to five provinces: Sihanoukville, Battambang, Siem Reap, Kompong Cham and Koh Kong.
  • Expansion of VAT coverage to include 150 additional firms.
  • Preparing for implementation of government decision (by Prime Ministerial Order), which specifies the means for strengthening inter-agency cooperation to reduce smuggling, and detailing assistance requirements and practical arrangements among

TABLE 2:  NATIONAL BUDGET INDICATORS

Particulars

1995

1997

1999

2000

2001

2002

Budget Out-Turn

Budget Out-Turn

Budget Out-Turn

Budget Out-Turn

Budget Out-Turn

Planned Budget

in Billion Riels

% of GDP

in Billion Riels

% of   GDP

in Billion Riels

% of   GDP

in Billion Riels

in Million US$

% of   GDP

in Billion Riels

in Million US$

% of   GDP

in Billion Riels

in Million US$

% of   GDP

DOMESTIC REVENUE:
1. Tax Revenue Direct Taxes
 
Indirect Taxes Customs Import Duties
2. Non tax Revenue
o/w forestry
Revenue
3. Capital Revenue
(Domestic)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

643.0

8.46%

881.0

9.63%

1,253.1

10.76%

1,458.6

376

12.23%

1,529.3

392

11.83%

1816.0

466

13.60%

445.5

5.86%

597.4

6.53%

979.7

8.41%

1,069.1

275

8.97%

1,096.6

281

8.46%

1249.0

320

9.35%

21.8

0.29%

46.1

0.50%

77.5

0.67%

135.5

35

1.14%

140.5

36

1.09%

138.0

35

1.03%

26.4

0.35%

65.7

0.72%

89.8

0.77%

107.8

28

0.90%

580.5

149

4.49%

161.0

41

1.21%

320.8

4.22%

485.7

5.31%

795.5

6.83%

796.9

205

6.68%

837.6

215

6.485

950.0

244

7.11%

 

189.8

2.50%

271.3

2.96%

359.6

3.09%

360.2

93

3.02%

423.8

109

3.28%

542.0

139

4.06%

52.9

0.70%

37.4

0.41%

36.3

0.31%

41.0

11

0.34%

29.3

8

0.23%

46.0

12

0.34%

 

7.7

0.10%

12.3

0.13%

13.7

0.12%

29.3

8

0.25%

9.1

2

0.07%

25.0

6

0.19%

Tax System
Structure:  % of  total tax revenues
  
·  Internal Tax
  
·  External trades tax

 

116.4

26.1%

249.9

41.8%

529.5

55.0%

649.7

 

62.5%

701.2

 

62.9%

819.0

210

65.6%

329.1

73.9%

347.5

58.2%

433.4

45.0%

390.4

 

37.5%

413.5

 

37.1%

430.0

110

34.4%

EXPENDITURE:
1. Current Expenditure
Defense & Security
Civil Administration
2. Capital Expenditure Locally financed investment Externally financed investments

 

1,247.9

16.43%

965.3

10.55%

1,515.7

13.01%

2,039.7

526

17.11%

2,362.0

606

18.26%

2636.0

676

19.73%

736.8

9.70%

816.0

8.92%

1,095.9

9.41%

1,215.5

313

10.19%

1,384.9

355

10.71%

1576.0

404

11.80%

430.7

5.67%

419.3

4.58%

468.1

4.02%

450.7

116

3.78%

405.4

104

3.13%

300.0

100